The Illusion of Risk Control : What Does It Take to Live with Uncertainty?

Intro -- Contents -- 1 Uncertainty: New Perspectives, Questions and Proposals -- 1.1 Uncertainty: A New Perspective on Safety -- 1.2 Uncertainty: New Questions for Safety Management -- 1.3 Uncertainty: New Proposals -- 2 Uncertainty---Its Ontological Status and Relation to Safety -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.1.1 From Risk to Uncertainty -- 2.1.2 The Connotation and Use of the Concept of Safety, Security, Risk and (un)Certainty -- 2.1.3 MSc Students' Perception of Uncertainty When Studying Societal Safety at the University of Stavanger -- 2.1.4 Uncertainty and Its Relation to Risk Theory and Conceptualizations -- 2.2 Contextual Prerequisites for the Uncertainty Concept -- 2.2.1 Time---Past, Present and the Future -- 2.2.2 System States Through Lenses of Scientific Disciplines -- 2.3 Perspectives on Uncertainty in Various Enterprises/Sectors -- 2.3.1 Health Sector -- 2.3.2 Aviation/Helicopter Transport -- 2.4 Concluding Remarks -- References -- 3 A Conceptual Foundation for Assessing and Managing Risk, Surprises and Black Swans -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Risk Perspectives, Brief Review of Historical and Recent Development Trends -- 3.3 Risk, Surprises and Black Swans -- 3.4 Assessing and Managing Surprising Events and Black Swans -- 3.4.1 Assessment -- 3.4.2 Risk Management -- 3.5 Conclusions -- References -- 4 Recognizing Complexity in Risk Management: The Challenge of the Improbable -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Revisiting the Concepts -- 4.2.1 Limitations of the Current Paradigm -- 4.2.2 The Total Predetermination Fallacy -- 4.2.3 What Is Uncertainty? -- 4.2.4 Environment Ontologies: A Taxonomy of Complexity -- 4.2.5 Uncertainty and Cognitive Control -- 4.2.6 Uncertainty and Risk Management -- 4.3 Is There a `Credible Alternative'? -- 4.3.1 Nature and Scope of Necessary Changes -- 4.3.2 Suggesting New Trails -- 4.4 Conclusion -- References.

5 Practices in the Danger Culture of Late Industrial Society -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 The Danger Culture of Industrial Society -- 5.3 Negotiations in Intersecting Social Worlds, Rather than Implementation of RegulationThis section draws heavily on an unpublished paper, which is now in the public domain as part of a collection of papers by Arie Rip on the occasion of a conference in honour of his being retired 18. The text and figures draw on this paper, with only minor modifications. -- 5.4 Conclusion -- References -- 6 Judicial Review of Uncertain Risks in Scientific Research -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Background on the LHC/Black-Hole Disaster Scenario -- 6.2.1 CERN and the LHC -- 6.2.2 Black Holes and the Evolving Safety Rationale -- 6.3 Conceptual and Practical Problems -- 6.3.1 The Lack of Disinterested Experts -- 6.3.2 The Need for Uncertain Scientific Principles Under Investigation -- 6.3.3 The Effect of Uncertainty in Low-Probability Assessments -- 6.4 Rhetorical Issues -- 6.4.1 Using Pricelessness to Avoid Quantitative Analysis of Benefits -- 6.4.2 Moving Away from the ``Probability Mode'' -- 6.4.3 Constructing the Quantum Straw Man -- 6.5 Implications for Courts -- 6.5.1 Evaluating Uncertain Risks in Qualitative Terms -- 6.5.2 Testing the Opinions of Science-Experiment Proponents by Analogy to Their Opinions Outside the Context of the Controverted Experiment -- 6.6 Conclusion -- References -- 7 What Can Japan's Early Modern Capital of Edo Teach Us About Risk Management? -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Six Principles Drawn from Edo's Fire Management -- 7.2.1 Build Light, Travel Light -- 7.2.2 Strong Social Infrastructure Counterbalances Vulnerable Physical Infrastructure -- 7.2.3 Disaster Clarifies Society's Hierarchy of Values -- 7.2.4 Give People Some Control Over Their Fates and They Will Tolerate Risk.

7.2.5 Personal Risk Differs from Systemic Uncertainty -- 7.2.6 Safety Decisions Are Political Decisions -- 7.3 Conclusion -- References -- 8 Conclusion -- 8.1 Uncertainty: A Multi-faceted Notion -- 8.2 Uncertainty: A Relative Notion -- 8.3 Reconciling Risk Management and Social Science Approaches to Uncertainty -- 8.4 Should We Fear Uncertainty? -- 8.5 Living with Uncertainty: Beyond Organizations and Regulators... -- References.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2023. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.