Time Predictions : (Record no. 304913)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03774nam a22004333i 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field EBC5579430
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20240122001129.0
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS
fixed length control field m o d |
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field cr cnu||||||||
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 231124s2018 xx o ||||0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9783319749532
Qualifying information (electronic bk.)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
Canceled/invalid ISBN 9783319749525
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (MiAaPQ)EBC5579430
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (Au-PeEL)EBL5579430
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (OCoLC)1066194561
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MiAaPQ
Language of cataloging eng
Description conventions rda
-- pn
Transcribing agency MiAaPQ
Modifying agency MiAaPQ
050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number HB131-147
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Halkjelsvik, Torleif.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Time Predictions :
Remainder of title Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life.
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Edition statement 1st ed.
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture Cham :
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer Springer International Publishing AG,
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2018.
264 #4 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice �2018.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (117 pages)
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Content type code txt
Source rdacontent
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term computer
Media type code c
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term online resource
Carrier type code cr
Source rdacarrier
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing Series ;
Volume/sequential designation v.5
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note Intro -- Foreword -- Preface -- Contents -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 A Prediction Success -- 1.2 Prediction Disasters -- References -- 2 How We Predict Time Usage -- 2.1 Mental Time Travel -- 2.2 How Did You Make that Prediction? -- 2.3 Time Predictions Are Everywhere -- 2.4 How Good Are We at Predicting Time? -- References -- 3 Predictions and the Uncertainty of the Future -- 3.1 Precisely Wrong or Roughly Right? -- 3.2 Communication of Time Predictions -- 3.3 Probability-Based Time Predictions -- 3.4 Right-Skewed Time Distributions -- 3.5 Relearning to Add: 2 + 2 Is Usually More Than 4 -- 3.6 How to Predict the Mean Time Usage -- 3.7 How Time Predictions Affect Performance -- References -- 4 Overoptimistic Predictions -- 4.1 Optimism, Overoptimism, and Overoptimistic Predictions -- 4.2 The Benefits of Overoptimism -- 4.3 The Desire to Control Time -- 4.4 Motivation to Make Accurate Time Usage Predictions -- 4.5 Selection Bias -- 4.6 Deception -- 4.7 Who Makes the Most Realistic Time Predictions? -- References -- 5 Time Prediction Biases -- 5.1 The Team Scaling Fallacy -- 5.2 Anchoring -- 5.3 Sequence Effects -- 5.4 Format Effects -- 5.5 The Magnitude Effect -- 5.6 Length of Task Description -- 5.7 The Time Unit Effect -- References -- 6 Uncertainty of Time Predictions -- 6.1 Why Are We Overconfident? -- 6.2 What Can We Do to Avoid Overconfidence? -- 6.2.1 The Use of Alternative Interval Prediction Formats -- 6.2.2 Learning from Accuracy Feedback -- References -- 7 Time Prediction Methods and Principles -- 7.1 Unpacking and Decomposition -- 7.2 Analogies -- 7.3 Relative Predictions -- 7.4 Time Prediction Models -- 7.5 Consider Alternative Futures -- 7.6 Combinations of Time Predictions -- 7.7 Let Other People Make the Prediction? -- 7.8 Removing Irrelevant and Misleading Information.
505 8# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 7.9 From Fibonacci to T-Shirt Sizes: Time Predictions Using Alternative Scales -- References -- 8 Time Predictions: Matching the Method to the Situation -- References -- 9 How to Obtain Overoptimistic Time Predictions from Others.
588 ## - SOURCE OF DESCRIPTION NOTE
Source of description note Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.
590 ## - LOCAL NOTE (RLIN)
Local note Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2023. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
655 #4 - INDEX TERM--GENRE/FORM
Genre/form data or focus term Electronic books.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name J�rgensen, Magne.
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Relationship information Print version:
Main entry heading Halkjelsvik, Torleif
Title Time Predictions
Place, publisher, and date of publication Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2018
International Standard Book Number 9783319749525
797 2# - LOCAL ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME (RLIN)
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element ProQuest (Firm)
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing Series
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/bacm-ebooks/detail.action?docID=5579430">https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/bacm-ebooks/detail.action?docID=5579430</a>
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